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Share Market Tips For February 2018

Share Market Tips For February 2018: 4th Week

Voltamp Transformers (NSE: VOLTAMP) (Share Price: Rs.1133.40) Share Market tips: Can be considered(10 Step Process To Confirm If It's A Buy)

Valuation: Undervalued stock with trailing PE of 15.06x as compared to close peers.
Reasons to consider: The company posted healthy numbers in Q3FY18. The company is cash rich with a parcel of land in hand where it is planning to set up a new facility. Undervalued status of the company makes it more attractive. It has shown continuous improvement in topline and operating profit margin since last four years.
Drivers: The company is engaged in manufacturing of oil-filled power and distribution transformer and dry type transformers which have application across sectors in power generation. Expected revival in power sector and investment cycle poised well for company's growth. Also, the order book of Rs.330 crores provides better revenue visibility over next two quarters.
Financials: In Q3FY18, the company posted revenue of Rs.160 crores vs Rs.110 crores in Q3FY17. EBITDA stood at Rs.31 crores vs Rs.14.30 crores YoY. The company posted EPS of Rs.23.33/share vs Rs.9.22 crores in Q3FY17.

Lasa Supergenerics (NSE: LASA) (Share Price: Rs.127.75): Avoid

Valuation: Overvalued with negative earnings.
Reasons to avoid: CFO of the company Mr. Manish Chandrakant Bhosle resigned on 31st Jan 2018. High debt company. Weak Q3FY18 numbers.
Drivers: Weak pharma sector. Promoter's stake has decreased. The company has low-interest coverage ratio. Promoters have pledged 15% of their holdings. Volume is too low for good investor to survive.
Financials: Earnings are negative. Ultimately company posted most of the return ratios, valuation ratios are on the negative side. Borrowings are on higher side and repayment is low.

Ginni Filaments Ltd. (NSE: GINNIFILA) (Share Price: Rs.34.8): Avoid

Valuation: Overvalued stock as compared to industry peers with PE of 34x.
Reasons to avoid: The company has delivered poor growth of 1.43% over past five years. The company has a low return on equity of 7.62% for last three years.
Drivers: Promoters have pledged more than 40% of their holdings. Interest coverage ratio is low. Operating margins are going down due to higher expenses.
Financials: Quarter numbers are uncertain for the company. The case is nearly same for yearly results. Peers are posting stable growth numbers while the company is finding it difficult to survive in closed competition. Debt is on growing side with repayment is slow and low.

A2Z Infra Engineering (NSE: A2ZINFRA) (Share Price: Rs.33.75): Avoid

Valuation: The company is overvalued with negative earnings.
Reasons to avoid: The company posted negative margins and final profit. Also, promoters of the company have pledged 96% of their shares.
Drivers: The board of the company approved the issuance of 8 crore equity shares to lenders as a one-time settlement. The company belongs to power sector which is growing slowly as of now. It impacted company's earnings.
Financials: In Q1FY18, net sales down by 34% QoQ to Rs.112 crores. EBITDA and PAT witnessed negative numbers.

Viceroy Hotels Ltd. (NSE: VICEROY) (Share Price: Rs.15.95) (Share Market tips): Avoid

Valuation: Stock is overvalued with poor fundamentals.
Reasons to avoid: Promoters have pledged more than 60% of their holdings. Promoter holding is 24% only. The company has interest coverage ratio. The company has delivered poor growth of 2.43% over past five years.
Drivers: The hotel industry is looking much stable as the government is taking a lot of efforts in making the majority of places in India as tourist spots. The hotel industry is in a lower slab of GST. It will be driving factor for the industry.
Financials: Company posted negative earnings in FY17. Signs of recovery are bleak. Debt is increasing with low-interest coverage. Due to lack of operational efficiency, margins are getting hammered.

Share Market Tips For February 2018: 3rd Week

Firstsource Solutions (NSE: FSL) (Share Price: Rs.47.50) (Share Market tips): Can be considered

Valuation: Undervalued stock with trailing PE of 10.61x as compared to close peers.
Reasons to consider: The company posted strong Q3FY18 numbers with margin expansion. The company has healthy valuation numbers making it more attractive. Healthcare segment of the company posted robust numbers in Q3FY18.
Drivers: The company won eligibility contract from one of the largest healthcare systems in North America where the company would be one of the preferred partners of customers to deliver service directly to their hospitals. Also, reduction in US tax rate is positive for the company.
Financials: In Q3FY18, the company posted net sales growth of 0.3% YoY to Rs.863 crores. EBITDA margin expanded to 13.09%. PAT grew by 42.7% YoY to Rs 99.55 crores. EPS grew by 40.78% YoY to Rs 1.45/per share.

Reliance Naval and Engineering Ltd (NSE: NAVAL) (Share Price: Rs.40.5) (Share Market tips): Avoid

Valuation: Valuation is down with negative earnings.
Reasons to avoid: Return ratios are falling as earning is negative. The contingent liability is increasing. Margins are getting hammered. There is lack of control on expenses.
Drivers: Entire promoter's holding is pledged. Promoter's holdings are less than 30%. The company has low interest coverage ratio. Peer group is much stronger as far as the business model is concerned.
Financials: Company has delivered negative earnings in last few years. Cash flows are negative as well. Comparing with industry numbers, debt to equity is too high for the company.

Supreme Tex Mart Ltd (NSE: SUPREMETEX) (Share Price: Rs.2.15) (Share Market tips): Avoid

Valuation: Negative earnings dragged the valuation down.
Reasons to avoid: Lack of operational efficiency hammering the margins. Debt is increasing continuously where repayment has nearly dried up.
Drivers: On the industry level, peers are much stronger as compared to the company. Considering negative earnings, return ratios are flat. Operating cash is negative as well. It's difficult for a company to survive with such operations.
Financials: Company is unable to manage expenses as compared to the revenue generated. EBITDA margins are negative. Start from revenue to net profit, negative growth has been seen. Cash profit is negative.

Godawari Power and Ispat (NSE: GPIL) (Share Price: Rs.560) (Share Market tips): Avoid

Valuation: Overvalued with negative earnings.
Reason To Avoid: The company is sitting on high debt and also promoters of the company have pledged 44.29% of their shares.
Drivers: Slow power sector growth affecting companies earnings. Also, high debt cost is eating its net profit.
Financials: Net sales of the company down by 8.86% to Rs.1,804 crores. The company registered negative earnings in FY17 on account of higher finance cost.

A2Z Infra Engineering (NSE: A2ZINFRA) (Share Price: Rs.34.5) (Share Market tips): Avoid

Valuation: The company is overvalued with negative earnings.
Reasons to avoid: The company posted negative margins and final profit. Also, promoters of the company have pledged 96% of their shares.
Drivers: The board of the company approved the issuance of 8 crore equity shares to lenders as a one-time settlement. The company belongs to power sector which is growing slowly as of now. It impacted company's earnings.
Financials: In Q1FY18, net sales down by 34% QoQ to Rs.112 crores. EBITDA and PAT witnessed negative numbers.

Share Market Tips For February 2018: 2nd Week

Pondy Oxide (NSE: 532626) (Share Price: Rs.574) Share Market tips: Can be considered

Valuation: Undervalued stock as compared to close peers with trailing PE of 9.76x.
Reasons to consider: Pondy Oxide is one of the top players in the battery industry. The company is India's leading producer of lead having a presence in lead alloys and PVC additives which are supplied to the battery, chemical and PVC manufacturers. Owing to the business background, it has grown at CAGR of 20% in last five years.
Drivers: Lead prices are trading closer to $ 2609/tonne which increase by 31% YoY. It would benefit coming in coming quarter. It has acquired land at Kancheepuram District for constructing a facility of manufacturing zinc metal (capacity- 9000 MT/annum), zinc oxide (capacity- 3600MT/annum).
Financials: In Q3FY18, the company posted a good set of numbers with PAT of Rs.8.04 crore against Rs.7.05 crore QoQ and Rs.6.97 crore YoY. EPS stood at Rs.14.42/ share and Rs.36.69/ share in 9MFY18.

Emco Ltd (NSE: EMCO) (Share Price: Rs.19.9) (Share Market tips): Avoid

Valuation: Uncertain with uncertain numbers.
Reasons to avoid: The company has low-interest coverage ratio. Nearly zero growth in last five years.
Drivers: The company is dealing with operational troubles. Return ratios are unable to contribute. Contingent liabilities increasing year after year and has touched to Rs.777 crore.
Financials: Fundamentals of the company are not in support of the business of the company. Revenue growth looks uncertain on the YoY basis. Financial troubles are adding uncertainty on the earnings side.

NCC (NSE: NCC) (Share Price: Rs.114) Share Market Tip: Avoid

Valuation: Overvalued stock with expensive valuation as compared to closed peers. The stock is trailing at PE of 121, which is too high.
Comment: Promoter's holding is just 19.56%. Promoters' have pledged more than 29% of their holdings. Contingent liabilities of the company have reached to Rs.1,673 crores.
Drivers: Standalone debt of the company has increased substantially to Rs.1794. The slowdown in execution and delay in payments had led to a significant rise in working capital for NCC in last few years.
Quarterly performance: Q1FY18 was significantly stable for the company as compared to last few quarters due to Nagpur metro project. But the company has to work on its execution pace in order to keep revenue visibility improving.
Financials: YOY performance of the company is going down since the last couple of years. Cash flows are negative whereas de-growth in revenue as well as in earnings has been seen.

OK Play India (BSE: 526415) (Share Price: Rs.114) Share Market Tip: Avoid

Valuation: Overvalued as compare to peers with trailing PE of 368.60x.
Reasons to avoid: The company having debt with DE of 1.38x as of now. Revenue witnessed degrowth of 21% in FY17. It is not seeing any uptick in volume which can boost topline.
Drivers: Promoters have pledged 68.26% of their holding. The company has a portfolio of plastic toys and auto parts still it is not picking up momentum since past years.
Financials: ROE is low to 0.2% in FY17. PAT margin is flat at 0.03% in FY17. EPS was negative till FY16 and in FY17 is slightly positive to Rs.0.03 which is very low as compared to peers.

Gangotri Textiles Ltd (NSE: GANGOTRI) (Share Price: Rs.0.15) Share Market Tip: Avoid

Valuation: Stock with falling fundamentals and poor valuation.
Reasons to avoid: Company has delivered negative growth over last few years. Interest coverage ratio is low. Promoters' holding is just 24%. Contingent liabilities are 122.95 crores.
Drivers: Company is engaged in manufacturing of cotton yarn, specificity yarn, fabric and ready-made garments. Demand is good for the products but the quality is little inferior for the company products as compared to peers.
Financials: The last couple of years company has shown significant improvement, but on YoY basis company still delivering negative earnings. Market share of the company is low.

Share Market Tips For February 2018: 1st Week

UPL (NSE: UPL) (Share Price: Rs.748) Share Market tips: Can be considered

Valuation: Fairly valued as compared to closed peers with trailing PE of 18.68x.
Reasons to consider: Diversified fully integrated agrochemical player with a footprint across the globe. Healthy and improving operating margin to ~21% since last two years. Higher return on equity of 37% shows financial strength of the company. Sales are growing with CAGR of 16% since last five years.
Drivers: In Budget-2018, government has announced many agriculture sector related schemes which would fuel sectoral growth. Also, global agro-chemical demand drives the sales growth of the company aided by strong global footprint. Product portfolio fits well in industry tailwind.
Financials: Sales grew by 16% in FY17 to Rs.16,312 crores. Operating margin stood at 21.31% while PAT margin stood at 10.42% in FY17. PAT of the company registered growth of 69% to Rs.1,752 crores in FY17.

Uttam Value Steels Ltd (NSE: UVSL) (Share Price: Rs.20.80) Share Market Tip: Avoid

Valuation: Poor valuation with negative earnings.
Reasons to avoid: The company has delivered poor growth of -1.81% in last five years. The company has delivered negative return ratios.
Drivers: Promoter's have pledged more than 47% of their holdings. Lack of operational efficiency by the company dragged the company down.
Financials: On YoY basis, company has delivered negative earnings since FY14. Splitting year in quarters, scenario is same as all quarter are in negative territory.

Flexituff International (NSE: FLRXITUFF) (Share Price: Rs.70.2) Share Market Tip: Avoid

Valuation: Overvalued stock with trailing PE of 24.59x as compare to closed peers.
Reasons to avoid: The company's promoters have pledged 81.26% of their holdings. The company is sitting on high debt with debt to equity ratio of 1.99x.
Drivers : High debt of the company is eating out bottom line also pledged share percentage is much higher which does not give a long-term clear picture of the company. Also, rising commodity prices can hamper margin of the company.
Financials: The company posted net sales of Rs.1,467 crores in FY17 vs Rs.1,325 crores in FY16. EBITDA margin stood at 12.59% in FY17 while PAT margin stood at 0.39% in FY17 which is very low.